
Investing in Growth, Tech, AI & Quantum 🐾 ENG/FIN 🐾 Q-Day by the end of 2028 $IONQ
Suomi
Joined June 2010
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timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
While travelling all over to spend time with customers, partners and the team, took a beat to put down thoughts on what's what in our part of Quantum the world, the race to scaled FTQC. "Put up or shut up: Part Deux" here: medium.com/@sakacc/put-up-or… My own thoughts, always.
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
$IONQ Great post by Chad. He acknowledges IonQ still needs to ship 256, but makes a very important distinction between IonQs roadmap compared to competitors like Quantinuum:
"The counterpoint to them (and others) is: “yes fair, but our path with respect to BOTH HOW we will do FT AND for HOW do will do scaling is clear and public”. I remain very, VERY skeptical about scaling laser control systems in Trapped Ion and Neutral Atom systems. I’m also skeptical for PICs as a mechanism to make this leap. They are better than bulk optics for sure, but not something that can scale like fully electronic mechanisms on integrated circuits at scale. They have their bet, we have ours — time will tell."
While travelling all over to spend time with customers, partners and the team, took a beat to put down thoughts on what's what in our part of Quantum the world, the race to scaled FTQC. "Put up or shut up: Part Deux" here: medium.com/@sakacc/put-up-or… My own thoughts, always.
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
$IONQ Superion 256 is now live on IonQ’s website.
IonQ’s 6th-generation platform (electronic qubit control, manufactured at SkyWater, standard server-rack form factor, low power consumption).
Available to order today, first systems shipping in 2027.
🔗 ionq.com/quantum-systems/sup…
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
ionq just put superion 256 on its website.
you can order one today. first deliveries in 2027.
if i'm running a data center, here's my question:
what can this machine do faster or cheaper than the computers i already own?
show me the numbers and i'll consider buying one. ionq.com/quantum-systems/sup…
🚀 We're getting ready to send two more satellites into space!
Next Monday, October 19, our newest @capellaspace synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellites, Acadia-11 (C-21) and Acadia-12 (C-22), are targeting launch aboard @SpaceX's #Bandwagon5 mission from Cape Canaveral, Florida.
Our mission, “Catch Me If You Can,” gets its name from the satellites' planned formation flight, with one following the other along the same orbital path.
Together, they depict two fish circling and chasing one another, symbolizing the orbital dance happening hundreds of kilometers above Earth.
These satellites will help advance bistatic SAR and interferometric SAR (InSAR) capabilities, enabling more precise monitoring of changes on Earth's surface.
Our satellites are designed, built, and operated by our incredible team in Colorado. A huge thank you to everyone whose hard work and dedication make missions like this possible!
We're ready for liftoff!
Watch the launch live: spacex.com/launches/bandwago…
Really good points. Why wouldn't they have asked the government for free money when IBM got 1bn for a foundry purchase? With $ionq revenues they could have gotten hundreds of millions. How is this better for shareholders? NdM has some explaining to everybody
i've spent some time reading what fellow $IONQ shareholders are saying about the latest $2 billion offering. i understand the frustration. some of you have been invested in this company for years. you've watched the technology improve, the acquisitions accelerate and the ambitions grow. now you're looking at another financing that could significantly increase the share count, and you're asking a reasonable question: what are we getting in return?
i've seen shareholders asking why ionq needs another $2 billion when its cash burn appears manageable. others are questioning whether acquiring SkyWater has changed the company's capital requirements. some want to understand how this financing fits with management's earlier comments about its financial position. others want answers about Superion specifications, customer deliveries and how much additional dilution shareholders should expect. i don't think these concerns should be dismissed as impatience. you can believe in ionq's future and still demand financial discipline from management.
i've read the offering documents, and the first thing i want to understand is why ionq needs another $2 billion right now. the company expects approximately $1.99 billion in net proceeds. it's a serious amount of money. what does this additional capital allow ionq to accomplish that it couldn't accomplish with the resources it already has? which products, customer deliveries or manufacturing milestones will move forward because of this financing? there may be excellent answers, but shareholders deserve to hear them. management should explain what changed and why raising this money makes sense today. there's a meaningful difference between needing capital to execute an existing plan and choosing to raise capital because a new opportunity makes doing so attractive.
then there's the financing itself. ionq is offering 20.5 million common shares, 29.5 million pre-funded warrants and 100 million additional warrants exercisable at $69.46 over seven years. the $40 offering price covers a share, or its pre-funded equivalent, together with two of those additional warrants. participating investors aren't simply paying $40 for a common share. they're also receiving valuable rights to purchase additional shares in the future. what alternatives did management consider? could ionq have raised the money without issuing so many warrants? shareholders deserve to understand why this was the best available deal for the company and its existing owners.
according to the prospectus, ionq had approximately 408.9 million common shares outstanding before the offering. the filing projects approximately 429.4 million after the offering closes, before warrant exercises, or 558.9 million if all the warrants issued in this offering are exercised. these are projected figures, not shares that have already been issued. the offering is expected to settle on october 16. the final figure also doesn't include every other outstanding equity award or potential future issuance. if all 100 million new warrants exercisable at $69.46 are eventually exercised for cash at their initial strike price, ionq could receive approximately $6.95 billion in additional capital. but that money isn't guaranteed, and exercising those warrants would mean issuing another 100 million shares.
shareholders deserve a clear picture of the entire capital structure, including outstanding warrants, equity compensation and potential future issuances. show us how the share count and the company's cash position change under different scenarios. dilution doesn't automatically destroy value. the money raised can create substantial value if management deploys it successfully. but building a larger company isn't necessarily the same thing as making each existing share more valuable.
which brings me to where the money is going. the prospectus describes working capital, general corporate purposes and potential strategic acquisitions and partnerships. i understand why management wants flexibility. i don't expect ionq to disclose confidential negotiations or provide competitors with its internal spending plans. but $2 billion deserves a more concrete explanation. shareholders should have some sense of how management intends to balance investment in quantum computing, manufacturing, existing businesses and future acquisitions. and they should know what progress to look for. if the financing accelerates Superion, explain what gets accelerated. if it expands manufacturing capacity, explain what that capacity will accomplish. if it supports enterprise security, explain what commercial progress shareholders should expect. then come back every quarter and tell us what happened. what did we spend? what did we accomplish? what took longer than expected?
i'm particularly interested in the questions shareholders are asking about Superion. they want specifications, delivery timelines and a better understanding of the work that remains. i understand that engineering schedules can change, and i'd rather have a credible timeline with clearly explained risks than a precise date management can't responsibly support. but there's a difference between demonstrating a technology, having a system ready for delivery and having a system accepted by a paying customer. management should explain where Superion stands along that path and whether this financing changes the timetable.
the SkyWater acquisition deserves a closer look, too. owning a semiconductor foundry could be a tremendous advantage for ionq. it could give the company greater control over manufacturing, accelerate engineering feedback and improve the economics of producing quantum systems. but semiconductor manufacturing requires capital. equipment, facilities, maintenance, production capacity and working capital all have to be financed. what does ionq expect SkyWater to require over the next three years, and what will shareholders get for that investment? i'd also like to understand how the economics of owning the foundry compare with obtaining those manufacturing capabilities through outside suppliers. i'm not arguing that buying SkyWater was a mistake. i'm asking management to demonstrate the economic advantage of owning it.
there's another detail in the prospectus worth acknowledging. when ionq acquired SkyWater, it inherited two material weaknesses in financial reporting controls that SkyWater had previously identified. one involved revenue accounting and access to its manufacturing systems. the other involved account reconciliations at its Fab 25 facility. ionq says it has implemented corrective measures, including new IT controls and integrating Fab 25's accounting processes into its own systems. but the company hasn't yet concluded that the weaknesses are fully remediated. the filing also says they haven't resulted in a material misstatement of ionq's financial statements.
this doesn't establish that the acquisition is failing. but it illustrates something important about buying businesses. somebody has to integrate the financial systems, retain the engineers, make the sales organizations work together, preserve customer relationships and decide which products receive investment. all of that requires management attention. the acquisition announcement was the beginning of the story. the real test is whether owning SkyWater leads to better manufacturing economics, faster development cycles and products delivered to customers sooner.
and that brings me to the acquisition strategy. ionq has completed its acquisition of SkyWater and agreed to acquire Elisity. the prospectus also says the company continues to evaluate additional acquisitions. i understand the strategy. buying manufacturing capabilities, engineering talent, established customer relationships and commercial distribution can be faster than building everything internally. but every acquisition competes with the opportunity to invest more money in the businesses ionq already owns.
suppose additional investment in SkyWater could shorten manufacturing cycles and reduce production costs. what would another acquisition have to accomplish to justify taking priority? suppose Elisity could grow substantially faster with additional salespeople, engineering resources and distribution. why wouldn't ionq fund that opportunity first? these are hypothetical examples, but the decision is real. i'd like to know how de masi evaluates competing uses of capital, what returns he expects and what would make him walk away from an acquisition. the ability to say no to a deal is just as important as the ability to close one.
the real test of an acquisition begins after the announcement. show us the customers won because two businesses came together. show us the products delivered faster, the revenue growth and the cost benefits. if owning these companies together creates more value than they could create separately, shareholders should eventually be able to see that in the operating results. and if an acquisition isn't producing the expected results, management should explain what it's doing about it.
there's one more issue that deserves a serious answer. after this $2 billion, what would cause ionq to need additional financing? and what would have to happen for the company to fund more of its growth through the cash generated by its own businesses? i'm not expecting a company at this stage of development to become profitable overnight. but shareholders should understand the path. how much capital does management believe it needs to execute its current strategy, and what assumptions support that estimate? those assumptions matter, particularly if commercialization takes longer or acquisitions require more investment than expected.
i also want to understand where management draws the line. there has to be a point where issuing more equity becomes too expensive, where an acquisition costs more than it's worth and where investing in the businesses ionq already owns becomes the better decision. access to capital is valuable. knowing when not to use it is valuable, too.
i've seen people characterize concerns about dilution as impatience or a failure to understand the long-term opportunity. i don't think that's fair. you can believe quantum computing will become an enormous industry and still question the terms of a financing. you can support de masi's acquisition strategy and still want to know whether those acquisitions are producing returns. you can be excited about Superion and still ask when customers will receive their systems and how much it will cost them to use the technology. and you can believe ionq will become a much larger company while still caring deeply about how much of that company each existing share will represent. those questions are part of being an owner.
i don't want ionq to abandon its ambition. i want the company to succeed. i want the technology to work, the products to reach customers and the businesses ionq has acquired to become more valuable because they're part of ionq. but i also want management to explain the financial decisions required to make that happen.
de masi has demonstrated that he can raise money and buy companies. now i want to know whether he can make each share of ionq worth more because of those decisions.
if i were sitting across from him today, i'd ask two questions. what changed that made raising another $2 billion the right decision now? and what are the three most important things you're going to accomplish with that money that you couldn't accomplish without it? i'd want answers specific enough that shareholders could revisit them a year from now and judge the results.
i'm still interested in what ionq can become. that's precisely why i care about how management finances that ambition. the company has asked shareholders to believe in a very big future. it's reasonable for those shareholders to want to understand how much of that future they'll still own when it arrives. d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.ne…
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
BREAKING NEWS: $IONQ has reached a deal to buy Google’s parent company, Alphabet, for a reported $5 trillion, which is a 16% premium on Alphabet’s current market cap. This will be an all-stock deal in which 125 billion IONQ shares will be exchanged at a value of $40/share.
IONQ’s CEO, Niccolo DeMasi, on the acquisition:
“Bringing Google into the basket of companies that we already have further strengthens our product line and roadmap going into the future. With Q-Day fast approaching, it is essential that we upgrade YouTube to quantum YouTube as soon as possible. After all, the universe operates on quantum, and so should YouTube.”
Replying to @InvestifyDaily
From my perspective, IonQ is continuing to lever up the bet on themselves and the value of their full stack approach. This entire bet sits on the foundation of the Superion quantum computer, and the performance of those electronically controlled trapped ion qubits singing together in larger and larger choirs.
Ask yourself this: Would the IonQ management team be levering up on themselves, even at the expense of causing the stock (which they all own as stock and stock options) if their insider view of the performance of the 256 development mules was not super positive? I don't think so.. I think they KNOW they hold a winning hand and they are levering up to take a larger pot. Not investment advice. @paullecoque @KantiqueTech
@gene @HannaSuds @Rick101284 @timontti
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
$IONQ just secured about $2 billion in fresh capital, at a premium.
New shares were priced at $40, above yesterday's close of $34.73. Institutional investors chose to pay more than the market price to get in.
Each share also comes with 2 warrants exercisable at $69.46 over 7 years, a price they only make sense at if the stock keeps climbing.
All of the money goes to IonQ itself, and no existing shareholders are selling.
On top of the ~$2 billion in cash and investments IonQ reported after closing SkyWater, that brings its war chest to roughly $4 billion.
That's serious firepower to grow its quantum computing, networking and security platform.
🔗 sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
What if majority of government entities and enterprises are about to miss the 2028-2029 Q-Day in terms of Quantum-proofing their businesses? Of course they cannot say it out loud, neither can $ionq. If you listen to experts such as @KonstantHacker this is a real risk now...?
Well well what have we got here
$ionq
forbes.com/sites/the-prototy…
NSA's Zero Trust principles from Oct. 8th
$ionq
nsa.gov/Press-Room/Press-Rel…
Zero Trust: A New Security Principle for the Age of AI Agents and Quantum Computing
[ENG] netcreat.substack.com/p/zero…
[KOR] blog.naver.com/4-fire/224218…
This post was originally written and published in Korean on March 16, 2026.
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
$IONQ It's now official, and the press release explains why IonQ wants Elisity: to combine its post-quantum cryptography and quantum key distribution with Elisity's Zero Trust platform, so customers are protected today and ready for the quantum era.
The deal is all-stock, valued at up to $1.3 billion, including up to $150 million tied to future performance.
@NiccoloDeMasi: "As I said first, Q-Day is coming much faster than predicted." He compares the deal to SkyWater, saying Elisity "will bring proven enterprise policy enforcement scale and deployment experience to our quantum security strategy."
The release also gives the numbers: more than 100 global customer deployments, revenue and customers doubling year over year, and "zero churn among deployed customers."
The deal is expected to close in Q4 2026.
🔗stocktitan.net/news/IONQ/ion…
#IonQ #Elisity #Cybersecurity #PQC
$IONQ IonQ has struck an all-stock deal to buy Elisity, valuing the cybersecurity company at up to $1.3 billion, according to The Wall Street Journal.
IonQ Chairman and CEO Niccolo de Masi told the Journal it is a bet that cybersecurity will become even more critical for companies as quantum computing and AI systems grow more powerful and advanced.
Based in San Jose, Elisity gives each device on a company's network an identity, then decides which ones may talk to each other. An intruder who gets in stays contained instead of spreading across the network. It covers office IT, connected devices and factory equipment, using the infrastructure already in place.
Elisity has been led since 2020 by James Winebrenner, who spent years at Cisco and Check Point.
Security is one of the four pillars of IonQ's platform, alongside computing, networking and sensing.
#IonQ #Quantum #Cybersecurity #Elisity
$ionq 👀
IonQ to Acquire Elisity to Accelerate Zero Trust for the Quantum Era
investors.ionq.com/news/news…
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
$IONQ IonQ has struck an all-stock deal to buy Elisity, valuing the cybersecurity company at up to $1.3 billion, according to The Wall Street Journal.
IonQ Chairman and CEO Niccolo de Masi told the Journal it is a bet that cybersecurity will become even more critical for companies as quantum computing and AI systems grow more powerful and advanced.
Based in San Jose, Elisity gives each device on a company's network an identity, then decides which ones may talk to each other. An intruder who gets in stays contained instead of spreading across the network. It covers office IT, connected devices and factory equipment, using the infrastructure already in place.
Elisity has been led since 2020 by James Winebrenner, who spent years at Cisco and Check Point.
Security is one of the four pillars of IonQ's platform, alongside computing, networking and sensing.
#IonQ #Quantum #Cybersecurity #Elisity
Quantum-computing company IonQ struck an all-stock deal to buy Elisity in a transaction that values the cybersecurity firm at up to $1.3 billion, executives told The Wall Street Journal on.wsj.com/3Wl3kvj
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
Thought I understood $IONQ. Then I started putting the pieces together, and it blew my mind.
timontti 🇫🇮 retweeted
$IONQ, $XNDU
MHz-rate interconnects sound impressive on paper, but rate alone doesn’t make a useful quantum link. In photonic systems the dominant error source is photon loss, and Xanadu’s own roadmap still has their key loss ratio ~24× above the fault-tolerance threshold in 2026 (targeting 1× by 2030). High clock rates only help if the photons that survive are high-fidelity enough for reliable entanglement or error-corrected computation. Until that gap closes, a faster link that loses a large fraction of the photons is mostly generating more failed attempts.
IonQ’s 1 kHz demo is between a trapped-ion qubit and a solid-state memory with measured fidelity. Their interconnect is also designed to link different qubit types (ions, neutral atoms, and superconducting with transducers)—that’s why IonQ was selected for DARPA’s HARQ program. Xanadu’s is photonic-to-photonic only. The relevant figure of merit is successful high-quality entanglement events per second, not raw optical rate. Technical demos are progress, but the market is pricing the distance to a low-loss, fault-tolerant system that can actually run useful algorithms.
Note:
Even after falling 90% from its high, Xanadu still trades at 100x estimated 2027 sales of just $11.5M.
IonQ is 26x 2027 estimated sales ex-SkyWater, or 19x est sales of $815M including SkyWater, not to mention incomparably higher growth rates and RPOs, plus a full-stack quantum platform spanning computing, networking, sensing, security, space, and foundry.


























