Politics. Hoyas. YMMV. Views expressed are mine alone, obviously. @TargetedVictory
VA
Joined June 2009
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Enjoyed discussing the midterm election state of play with the great @amyewalter on @ianbremmer's @gzeromedia show. Full episode here:
📺: youtu.be/tSjF30r6Ip8
🎧: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
I fully believe that this is a real risk and/but even if the polling is systematically missing Rs, a thumb on the scale in the screen isn't going to fix what ails when the issue is a fundamentally unrepresentative sample.
But it's an example of the phenomenon I wrote about yesterday. Pollsters are very aware of missing low on R's in 2016/20/24. They might still be undercompensating. They also might be overcompensating. Either seems about equally likely at this point.
natesilver.net/p/my-pet-peev…
Ought to pin this until they get back for the lame duck. I'm sure there's a defensible rationale for the latest OSW maneuvers, but even if the lead negotiators give you the benefit of the doubt, it makes their job harder while providing an easy offramp to Ds looking to get to no.
If you haven't noticed, the new way to instantly delegitimize any policy--no matter how ordinary, ecumenical, or long-sought--is to call it a handout to data centers. See also: permitting reform.
The hot new Democratic campaign tactic is to attack Republicans over a tax break that doesn't exist. @PostOpinions washingtonpost.com/opinions/…
Liam Donovan retweeted
@sciam reports how public-private partnerships like ours with @NNSANews could help protect national security by supporting America’s nuclear deterrent.
“There’s a first-place prize for deterrence: first place is freedom and prosperity." – @NNSAWilliams at our groundbreaking ceremony.
Read more ⬇️
Scientists who previously worked on fusion inside the U.S. nuclear labs and their colleagues built the private company Pacific Fusion. Now the government is turning to their new machines for help conducting research on its nuclear arsenal.
sciam.com/article/how-a-fusi…
Name one company that is moving with the speed and purpose of meta right now. There's nobody doing it better.
Liam Donovan retweeted
If three kids is an elite status symbol, then my parish is basically Davos.
Is having 3 kids the ultimate status symbol? axios.com/2026/10/20/childre…
Ensuring the process of building energy infrastructure remains haphazard and sclerotic to own Big Tech.
Ramesh raises an interesting point and the fact that they haven't used it as an opening to go on the offensive points speaks to the immense discomfort with the policy terrain. There just aren't many GOP candidates/campaigns equipped or inclined to engage in a health care fight.
GOP candidates in key Senate races have not bothered to tell voters about their opponents’ hostility to Medicare Advantage. | @RameshPonnuru
nationalreview.com/2026/10/r…
Liam Donovan retweeted
MBD makes a case for a political party as a *political* party--not an ideological one.
Everybody wants a read on whether Donald Trump is dragging the GOP to simple disaster or utter doom in the midterms.
But in @nytopinion, I argue that by smashing the grip of any one faction on the GOP, Trump has put the party in position to grow as a baggier, more ideologically-incoherent coalition.
nytimes.com/2026/10/19/opini…
Liam Donovan retweeted
In light of @elonmusk pledge, thinking back to this story from nearly three years ago.
Group pushes for gov-funded investment accounts for U.S. kids axios.com/2024/01/05/investm…
This is a parochial enough concern that if you were looking to get to yes it could probably be accommodated. Escalating publicly like this just looks like an effort to kill the bill (with signal boosting from other interests with unrelated beef of their own.)
First in @PunchbowlNews AM: Tribal fight escalates. Opponents to NHPA changes in the permitting bill shared an analysis w/ us intended to rebut claims that BAAJA would enhance tribal consultation. The 106 Strong coalition is planning a rally at the Capitol Nov. 9 when votes start
But don't take my word for it
Liam Donovan retweeted
I’m skeptical that disparate treatment will be effective outside of wind under this administration, but appreciate the admission here that these guys’ highest priority is unlawfully targeting oil and gas projects and project certainty generally will constrain them.
Liam Donovan retweeted
With Trump's popularity sinking ahead of the midterms, should Republican candidates distance themselves from the president or stick by his side?
@amyewalter and Liam Donovan join Ian Bremmer to discuss the difficult choices facing Republicans, and how Democrats are hoping to capitalize on voter frustration over the economy, the Iran war, and corruption. #gzeroworld
Liam Donovan retweeted
Will Democrats take back both the House and Senate in November? The polls suggest a blue wave could be coming, but the Senate map gives Republicans a fighting chance.
On the latest GZERO World podcast, Ian Bremmer speaks with Amy Walter and Liam Donovan about the races that could decide control of Congress.
Listen to the full conversation where ever you get your podcasts. #gzeroworld
Useful chart from @DecisionDeskHQ. The gov-senate dynamics playing out on tickets across the country are getting less attention than they deserve. open.substack.com/pub/decisi…
This piece doesn't come right out and say it's Uber, but reading between the lines it is strongly suggested.
An anti-robotaxi group called the People First Transportation Alliance has become active in DC in recent months.
But exactly who is behind the group remains unclear.
My latest for @washingtonpost
washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/…
