🧵 Thread and summary of the accounts I've followed that presented or discussed/mentioned the thesis of a final grand top in the 2030s, followed by a lost decade, instead of the common narratives of: 🔻 "AI is already the biggest Bubble ever" / "the biggest crash" / "a recession worse than 1929" happening soon, not years from now 🔻 the grand finale top happening around 2028 or before the 2030s The accounts are listed below, and in the replies you'll find several of their charts and posts for reference. 🔹@ChifoiCristian 🔹@RESMcycles 🔹@CryptoCycleGod 🔹@TheCyclesTrader 🔹@SethCL now posting on @GroupFinom You can bookmark this thread, as it is meant to be a reference post we can easily come back to in the future, instead of searching for posts individually in the X information chaos. I might keep adding charts and posts in the replies as they are published in the future. You can also share it if you want to raise awareness of this thesis and the accounts above, some of which deserve many more followers, in my view. And if this thesis eventually plays out, I want this thread to serve as a record of who was discussing it years in advance. Credit where credit is due!

binancecoin:native really did not want to lose the 50w so far. Look at these 3 clean touches in yellow. Also some seeing some potential iH&S in the making here.

Link to the chart 🔗 fred.stlouisfed.org/series/C…

Great video on the recent deleveraging.

bitcoin:native Bitcoin, nothing much new happening, some very LTF observations on the 4h, bullish divergence still being built.

#Gold Another view of the speculative thesis for those following the ~8 year cycles. Context & Hypothesis: 🔸 Assuming Gold follows an ~8y cycle, the next major cycle low could occur somewhere around 2029/30. 🔸 The major top of this cycle may have already been reached in January 2026 given the overheating, overextension and mass attention signs we got. 🔸 A Half Cycle Low (HCL ~4y low) could be due somewhere around Q4 2026 / Q1 2027. 🔸 The bounce from this HCL would not produce a new major expansion phase. 🔸 Instead, Gold would still need more time to reset its momentum and would continue moving sideways/down, with choppy PA until 2029/30. 🔸 This would approx align with the timing of the next major stock market low I'm expecting around 2029 (Reminder on the thesis, 2028 ~7y cycle top, followed by a significant correction during the 2028/29 Shmita year - next official recession?) 🔸 From there, a new expansion phase could begin around 2029/30, coming out of the correction. Just my thoughts of the day. What do we think?

Adding one from @cantonmeow for the thesis discussed above. Mid 30s melt up.

Interesting discussion below with Rufio and some thoughts on Gold. As mentioned below, I think some people are expecting a major bottom for Gold in the coming months, perhaps in Q4 or Q1 next year, before accelerating higher again. That's one possible thesis. But on the other side, looking at previous strong advances and major tops in Gold, it historically took quite some time for momentum to properly reset, with the weekly RSI eventually going to the oversold area sometimes several times. So I would think that Gold might still need more time to properly reset before entering its next acceleration phase, which might not come as quickly as people think. What do we think?