Serge (@Sergeant991) header
Serge (@Sergeant991) profile picture

CPA. Constantly researching to get an edge. Looking for asymmetric returns. High tolerance for volatility.

Joined September 2020
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Do you really think Democrats will crater the only thing driving economic growth?
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Serge retweeted
$MRVL is paying $115B in stock for $LITE, a company whose AI lasers are sold out through early 2029. $NOK paid $2.3B for Infinera in 2025 and got its own indium phosphide laser fab in Sunnyvale with it. Marvell just told the market what owning lasers is worth.
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Considering the potential Marvell-Lumentum equity swap at a ~$115B valuation, $NOK’s intrinsic value comes into a completely new light. Nokia’s 2024 announcement (completed 2025) to acquire Infinera for just $2.3B was an absolute steal — executed right before Wall Street realized the magnitude of the AI optical inflection. Today, acquiring that same vertical integration (including U.S.-based InP wafer fabs) would easily command $50B+. Paired with Nokia’s legacy Silicon Photonics and IP routing dominance, its data center optical stack is almost unmatchable. Nokia also has its Fixed Networks business, where it holds a dominant market-leading position (outside China). Looking at current market multiples, Nokia’s fair enterprise value should realistically sit at $100B–$150B (a 2–3x re-rating from here) when comparing to others — and that is attributing more or less zero value to its Mobile Networks (MI) division. Mobile Networks acts as a free call option on future distributed AI edge compute AI-RAN. Plus, Nokia’s patent portfolio alone prints >€1B in high-margin annual operating profit. Maybe Wall Street will catch on once hyperscaler optical/IP contracts go public (IF) or as Nokia's earnings acceleration takes off post-2026 balance sheet cleanup. Hopefully patience will pay off. #Investing #Optical #AIInfrastructure #Semiconductors $NOK $MRVL $LITE
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Jensen mentioned Nscale last night..... NVIDIA → Nscale → Nokia NVIDIA supplies the AI compute, Nscale builds the AI infrastructure, and Nokia $NOK is positioned as a networking partner and investor in Nscale.
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$NOK breakout finally. This is only the first step. Excited for this one from a fundamental and technical perspective and wouldn't be surprised to see it double eventually. Here's why: If data center demand is strong (which it is) the future won't be able to do it without optics. To achieve the needed speeds, data centers are moving away from traditional copper wiring and shifting entirely to optics (like Indium Phosphide lasers and silicon photonics). And NOK is well positioned for this: • They own Infinera after a major acquisition last year, a major optical networking company, which means they own a major share in the manufacturing for Indium Phosphide, a key material used in high-speed optical chips. COHR and LITE are the other major players. Indium Phosphide supply is extremely limited and Nokia has its own in house process. • In addition to a 20-fold expansion at its legacy Infinera fab in San Jose, Nokia finalized a definitive agreement to acquire NXP Semiconductors' massive manufacturing campus in Chandler, Arizona. Nokia is completely repurposing this campus into a dedicated InP photonic chip production facility. • While Coherent and Lumentum focus heavily on raw chip fabrication, Nokia holds a massive competitive advantage in backend advanced packaging and testing.Through its Allentown, Pennsylvania facility, Nokia expanded its domestic photonic packaging throughput by 10 times. This means Nokia can build the raw InP chip and package it into completed optical engines entirely on U.S. soil. Exploding Order Momentum - Nokia’s Q2 financial data confirms that its AI narrative is reality, not hype. Net sales to AI & Cloud customers grew 105% year-over-year. The company booked a massive €2.8 billion in AI & Cloud orders in a single quarter. Crucially, Nokia's total accumulated AI technology orders have swollen to 6.3 times its current quarterly revenue for that segment. This massive backlog creates clear revenue visibility through 2027 and 2028. Margin Expansion via Vertical Integration -Because Nokia owns its own Indium Phosphide fab capacity and advanced packaging, it does not have to pay a markup to merchant suppliers like Coherent or Lumentum. This vertical integration protects Nokia from supply chain constraints and expands margins. Geopolitical Backstop -Regulators are moving to restrict Chinese optical transceivers. As one of the few companies capable of manufacturing, packaging, and testing InP optical engines entirely on U.S. and European soil, Nokia is capturing a captive, high-security market. Following its recent financial reports, analysts from Bank of America lifted their price target to $18.50, and JPMorgan extended a target of $21.00. It's currently trading at $10.
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$1 million into these $NOK calls
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Serge retweeted
$NOK Bullish hammer candlestick pattern off the golden fib level ($12.18).
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$CIFR weekly recap Really feels like something is going on here For 10+ days now there’s been steady, aggressive call buying across multiple expirations This doesn’t feel like retail and it doesn’t look like short term gamma chasing Feels a lot like someone is positioning🧵
$CIFR highest weekly close since November and all positions very green as big call flow continues to hit the tape Massive close above $19 and would not be surprised with a new ATH in the next couple weeks Hope you all printed off the TA & @unusual_whales updates this week just like CTG is😎🍻💰
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🚨BREAKING🚨 December 31st, 2025. While the world is celebrating the New Year, the Federal Reserve quietly injected $74.6 BILLION in overnight repo liquidity, one of the largest single-day repo operations of the entire year More liquidity is coming for markets while people were sipping on champagne and kissing at New Year’s parties 🎉 This will reduce downside risk in 2026 and continue to push and support the A.I. Narrative and trade, equities small and large caps, Bitcoin and Ethereum R🦊R
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If you think $IREN will hit $100 by the end of 2025, hit the like button. If you think $IREN will hit $250 by the end of 2026, hit the repost button. If you think $IREN will hit $500 anytime in 2027/28, hit both. If you don’t think, have a relaxing weekend.
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$IREN 🔥 If you think IREN will hit $100 by the end of 2025, hit the Like button. If you think IREN will hit $400 by the end of 2026, hit the Repost button. If you’re not sure, then just hit both buttons and have a great day 🫶😎
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$AMD EVP of Data Center Solutions: “We aspire to be a meaningful player in the AI accelerator space.” “If you don’t have 20% market share, you’re not a meaningful player.”
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Buy small caps is my answer. “Stop being patient and start asking yourself, how do I accomplish my 10-year plan in 6 months?” -Elon Musk
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🚨Giveaway: I'm giving away 2 FREE #Madden26 All Madden Edition download codes! How to enter: 1. Retweet and like this tweet 2. Comment your console preference and #Madden26 3. Must be following me Sundays Came 7 Days Early!
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Boys. I have one PS5 code for Madden 26 (Deluxe Edition) Follow, retweet, reply here. Picking winner at 10am EST tomorrow.
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Serge retweeted
Timeline is quiet on $OSCR now… good. Forward P/E: 21 P/S: 0.48 P/FCF: 4 EPS this year: +615% EPS next year: +24% EPS next 5Y: +155% EPS QoQ: +47% EPS YoY: +289% Sales YoY: +54% Sales QoQ: +42% Sales past 3/5Y: +71%/+80% There’s a lot of retail fluff on here, this isn’t that.
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A recession, but it identifies as a bull market.
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Some incredibly bullish news for $AMD in recent weeks: • $AMD announced a $10B buyback • Lisa Su says the AI accelerator market will grow 60% YoY for the next 3 years, reaching $500B by 2028 • $AMZN now owns 800,000 shares of AMD • Phil Guido, Executive Vice President and CCO, bought $1M worth of shares • $AMD is part of a new $10B joint venture with Humain, the Kingdom’s state-owned AI company — helping build a global AI hyperscaler $AMD is one of the best plays in the AI game...
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