Shaman

Trump 2.0 is "Writing" the "Rules" of the next *Implied*-IRBO through his success or failure... if he succeeds, then the "Trump Model" becomes THE Playbook for *all* Superpowers who aspire to consolidate their positions and survive-thrive into post-WW3 but if he fails, the "Trump Model" becomes a "Cautionary Tale" This is very important, because we are in a completely "New World" now... but a New World *Order* has yet to emerge Post-AI Singularity; 24/7/365 1:1:♾️ Real-Time Connectedness... "Reflexive-Recursivity" what works in this new "Environment" as "Micro-Climate" in Space-Time? and what doesn't? It's unclear... "Conventional Wisdom" says that you can't act like Trump 2.0 and win in the long-run, because Reputation matters others would argue that Reputation is a weak and viscous asset... and that Might = Right Some could argue the "Rules" of Power have not changed; others would argue that the "Rules" are completely changed... Some others could argue that the Rules were always in place, but that before AI and the Internet... history "bends" towards justice... with lots of latency... and fits and starts... and that nowadays, we are moving towards "Instant Karma" World Order Basically, nobody knows how this will play out... Not even ASI can "model" this out... Basically, Trump 2.0 Success or Failure is the ultimate test of "Theory of Power" in this New World if Trump succeeds, not only will *he* continue to push to *his* End Game but his Peers and Rivals will begin to adopt his Tactics and Playbook, as well... "Proof of Concept" Does Decorum matter? Does being an "Asshole" hurt you necessarily? Can Trumpism "win it all" and get away with it? Jury is out

20 years from now, Humanity will inherit a new "Class" of "Wisdom" and "Common Sense" building on the Ancient Wisdom of "Golden Rule" and "Karma" and Modern "Wisdom" from the field of Applied and Behavioral Economics... such as "Sunk Cost Fallacy" and "Supply and Demand" and so forth... All of this is rather Reflexively Intuitive to most of us now... but remember that it was not always so... and even the best of us must constantly get reminded that these Rules of Wisdom continue to be enforced... via "Re-Enforcement Learning" We have no idea what the next order even looks like... how to even "Interpret" it, with what human-cognizable frameworks and language It will take the next Kahneman and Tversky... to elevate these next-order hunches into science and then common knowledge What we are dealing with is likely a number of Meta-Entities that operate *through* us and AI We are returning to Mythology, because it turns out Mythological Perspective was "right" all along

Russia has always been willing to go to full-scale war vs Ukraine, Poland, Romania, Baltics, Germany but Putin *really really* does not want to go to war vs USA or Turkey Putin is *prepared* to also fight France-UK if he has to... Therefore, Russian Federation Grand Strategy is always about the hard job of kicking out the US Military from Europe So a direct and immediate confrontation crossing the lines into NATO was never tenable It would always require all the stars aligning: - US finally reaching critical threshold on weapons stockpiles and production capacity - US sunk into Iran War Quagmire - Trump or Vance-like President who signal they would consider de-facto 0% Pentagon allocation to EUCOM if SHTF worldwide and even now that the stars did align for Putin... it isn't a "done deal" that we will just let him take Europe away from us... This is Open Heart Surgery in the middle of Armageddon Ground Zero Wildfire Technically, even we do not want to go to war vs Russia or China; just as they do not want to go to war vs us... We all know it would basically be end of the world and plus, we do not want that "Bad Blood" with Civilizational Superpowers aggressively limiting the Grand Strategic Optionality of our descendants... So it's tough... and it makes sense that Putin is bearing the cost of "discovery" because obviously, we retain the Incumbent Position of a Global Empire surrounding *both* Russia AND China yes, we are "weakened"... but we know they don't want to call our bluff so they need to make us move, to gain territory that we can't fight to keep... without fighting us directly We are poised to get the better end of this deal... structurally and Putin is the one "Russian Gangster" who is willing to say "fuck it" and start destroying the American Empire through de-facto attrition anyway It's a very expensive way to force us into "Tough Decisions"... for him but he sees it as the most viable path to achieving his goals first among them, kicking the US out of Europe

French "Far Right" would rather partition Germany together with Russia, than to fight Russia in war German "Far Right" would rather partition Poland together with Russia, than to fight Russia in war This is the deep structural reason why French vs German "Far Right" had epic falling out, leading to AfD exclusion from French-led European-wide coalition of "Far Right" parties Franco-German "Duopoly" would rather cede the Baltics in a "Strategic Retreat" and then position Poland as the "Next Ukraine"... than to fight Russia in war Current European Political Geography suggests inevitable movement towards deployment of multi-national forces vs Russia *immediately* no matter where Putin chooses to break the seal But the rise of European Far Right Parties that are "Pro-Russia" signals Putin has a pathway to getting them to back down way sooner to boot, while Far Right plays "Pro-Russia" Russians, like the Jewish RW, know they are un-reliable in the long run suicidal for both Slavic and Jewish interests, and not only Muslim interests These parties merely indicate to Putin, who is operating 100% in "WW3 Mode", that Europe is cracking Putin's entire Civilizational Mantra is defeating Nazism think about it