Analytical Tools for Political Prediction Markets Created by @rajivchicago RTs are not endorsements PAE is not affiliated with any candidate/party
Chicago, IL
Joined July 2019
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Political Alert Engine retweeted
you actually don't even need to be a predictit trader. all those anxious and distracted about the future of democracy welcome
don't miss out when the market changes its mind about the most bet-on election in history. Get sms / email alerts when @PredictIt markets surpass thresholds or change by a certain amount in a given time at elicit.org/predictit
cc @elicitorg
Political Alert Engine retweeted
FIRST RESULTS from SUMTER County (The Villages).
Trump 66.41%
Biden 33.25%
@Redistrict said that 65-66% in the initial count (early/mail votes) is "possibly good for Biden" while 67% - 68% is "FL on track to be FL."
#ElectionDay #Election2020
teapaw.org/kilometerbryman/status…
Political Alert Engine retweeted
the 2020 election in real-time
predictions.global/dashboard
cc @PoliticalTrader @ssupak @rainbow_jeremy_ @PredictMkts @OldBullTV @TheEdgeRaven @palertengine @keendawgSSG @iSavage_PI @The_Bobkabob @AugurProject @catnip_exchange @PolymarketHQ @realPoyoPoyo @PredictIt
Political Alert Engine retweeted
Early night for me. If you’re up at dawn, I’ll be on Morning Joe at 6:00 with our final Pennsylvania numbers.
@MonmouthPoll
Political Alert Engine retweeted
I just found out that my neighbor was charged $2700 for an ambulance trip 5 blocks to the hospital. She is retired. On a fixed income. I knew, but I didn't know. And I'm angry about our healthcare system all over again.
You know people are risking death because they can't afford an ambulance ride to the hospital. No wonder when my neighbor fell down and broke her hip she was begging us to not call 911. Barbaric. Heart-breaking. @AMR_Social and @UHC, how do you sleep at night?
Political Alert Engine retweeted
In the last few weeks, the @PredictIt price for voter turnout > 160M has almost doubled. If you want to get alerts when markets change, set custom PredictIt notifications at elicit.ought.org/predictit
Political Alert Engine retweeted
Bet suggestion: If Biden gets between 328 and 382 electoral college votes, @FiveThirtyEight should pay @TheEconomist $6400. Otherwise, @TheEconomist should pay @FiveThirtyEight $3600. How did we generate this bet? 1/5
Political Alert Engine retweeted
After checking every poll in the @FiveThirtyEight polling database and using uniform swing from 2016, this appears to be the single worst non-SurveyMonkey state poll for Trump in all of Biden/Trump polling.
This poll showing Trump up 53%-39% in West Virginia, a state he won 68%-26% in 2016, might be the most horrific poll I've seen for him all month, and that's saying something. wvmetronews.com/2020/10/13/w…
Political Alert Engine retweeted
Insight from April 2020 SSG Pod, somehow still relevant:
"A lot of traders are reluctant to bet on Biden because they don't like the optics of him hanging out in his basement basically being irrelevant. I actually think coronavirus has been a total a gift for him."
@keendawgSSG
Political Alert Engine retweeted
It's funny that being "bullish" about the prospects of Joe Biden's electoral success has always been the least popular position one could take in terms of generating positive social media engagement -- yet it's the position that for almost two years has most aligned with reality
Political Alert Engine retweeted
Biden campaign running ads emphasizing the importance of social distancing and wearing masks would be a good way to get around this, staying positive while reminding everyone that Trump did this to himself.
This quoted post is unavailable.
Political Alert Engine retweeted
Mentions market picks are in for DEBATE NIGHT. #LFG!!
- Will he "Sleepy Joe?"
- Will he say "Joe Biden's basement"
- Will he say "Antifa"
- Who will Fox News say was the winner?
And so much more!
buff.ly/2G1Vgct
Political Alert Engine retweeted
Yes. Come join Star Spangled Gamblers, we'll host a neutral site podcast and you're guaranteed to have fun. We make accurate political predictions that are way more fun than anyone else's. For example, here was our Super Tuesday forecast.
Political Alert Engine retweeted
👏 👏 👏 – at Los Angeles, CA
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
Political Alert Engine retweeted
No state or territory should face delegate penalties for delaying primaries in response to COVID-19. Period.
SCOOP: A memo fro the DNC's Rules and Bylaws says "We are working with state parties that need to make adjustments as needed to their delegate selection processes so they can continue without major interruptions."
theguardian.com/us-news/2020…
Political Alert Engine retweeted
One Week From Today, @ewarren has
28%Endorsed Bernie
26%Endorsed Biden
15%Still In The Race
32%Dropped Out w/o Endorsing
47 votes • Final results Political Alert Engine retweeted
Elizabeth Warren currently has fewer delegates that Pete Buttigieg, who dropped out. I have to say, it's sort of amazing to see that given her universally-praised campaign operation.
Political Alert Engine retweeted
super tuesday in real time
predictions.global/dashboard
added 13 new markets (refresh twice, scroll to bottom)
cc @PoliticalTrader @ssupak @rainbow_jeremy_ @PredictMkts @OldBullTV @TheEdgeRaven @palertengine @keendawgSSG @iSavage_PI @The_Bobkabob @AugurProject @realPoyoPoyo
