
Analytical Tools for Political Prediction Markets Created by @rajivchicago RTs are not endorsements PAE is not affiliated with any candidate/party
Chicago, IL
Joined July 2019
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close prices on @PredictIt (EOD 1/6/21)
YES: Trump finish first term: 74¢ (prev. 90¢)
NO: Senate convicts Trump on impeachment in first term: 92¢ (prev. 97¢)
NO: Trump resigns in first term: 85¢ (prev. 90¢)
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.@PredictIt appears to be down. latest data we have is as of 8:07 Eastern
politicalalertengine.com/
I too am seeing slowness in @predictit
PredictIt is down right now. I'm removing them from the ElectionBettingOdds.com average temporarily so the main odds can keep updating.
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So far @PredictIt traders have gotten more bullish on Biden politicalalertengine.com/
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Less than 7 hours before polls start closing and here is what @PredictIt traders have in key markets
via politicalalertengine.com/
With less than an 1.5 hours left to the deadline, I submitted my best guesses!
Late-breaking contest news! Got another $400 to dump into it from @kombsee - new prize pool is $1250 / $300 / $100 for 1st / 2nd / 3rd!
Get your entries in before midnight! Go go go:
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F…
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Not a big difference post-debate based on @PredictIt trades
politicalalertengine.com/
<1 hr before the debate: Biden leads according to @PredictIt, but Trump gaining some ground
politicalalertengine.com/
<1 hr before the debate: Biden leads according to @PredictIt, but Trump gaining some ground
politicalalertengine.com/
Also, Elicit has a nifty tool to track price movement with sms/email alerts
elicit.org/predictit
ahead of the debate, a pretty good day for Dems on @PredictIt
politicalalertengine.com/
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ahead of the debate, a pretty good day for Dems on @PredictIt
politicalalertengine.com/
Inspired by @keendawgSSG, get a table of all the de-facto Biden markets on @PredictIt:
politicalalertengine.com/ana…
.@keendawgSSG: inspired by your post, I made some tables of these @PredictIt markets:
politicalalertengine.com/ana…
enjoy!
To be clear, I am betting a LOT of money on a Biden W.
But I would pay at least one max-out to see every brandname trader wipe the coke dust off their nostrils on Nov 3 and realize they got cucked by Donald Trump, @obamoracle, @TruthBomber_ once again
tinyurl.com/y4wd56sg
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.@PredictIt odds of Cornyn (purple line) vs. Trump Texas (orange line). Spreads seem to be narrowing a bit.
politicalalertengine.com/ana…
FWIW, I'm of the view that @realDonaldTrump is more likely to lose than @JohnCornyn
.@PredictIt traders: want price alert on latest prices?...check out @elicit_ought's free SMS/Email Notification tool
link: elicit.ought.org/predictit
example:
.@PredictIt odds of @realDonaldTrump completing his first term are now around 77% (down from 85%-90% 24 hrs ago)
chart link: politicalalertengine.com/ana…
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With about 1 hour to the debate: here are the odds based on @PredictIt data
politicalalertengine.com/ana…

















