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Analytical Tools for Political Prediction Markets Created by @rajivchicago RTs are not endorsements PAE is not affiliated with any candidate/party

Chicago, IL
Joined July 2019
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close prices on @PredictIt (EOD 1/6/21) YES: Trump finish first term: 74¢ (prev. 90¢) NO: Senate convicts Trump on impeachment in first term: 92¢ (prev. 97¢) NO: Trump resigns in first term: 85¢ (prev. 90¢)
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This is assuming their systems are not down
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I have data as of 8:07 pm ET on politicalalertengine.com/
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.@PredictIt appears to be down. latest data we have is as of 8:07 Eastern politicalalertengine.com/
Less than 7 hours before polls start closing and here is what @PredictIt traders have in key markets via politicalalertengine.com/
With less than an 1.5 hours left to the deadline, I submitted my best guesses!
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Not a big difference post-debate based on @PredictIt trades politicalalertengine.com/
<1 hr before the debate: Biden leads according to @PredictIt, but Trump gaining some ground politicalalertengine.com/
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I agree...I think she did a good job as moderator
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<1 hr before the debate: Biden leads according to @PredictIt, but Trump gaining some ground politicalalertengine.com/
Also, Elicit has a nifty tool to track price movement with sms/email alerts elicit.org/predictit
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Inspired by @keendawgSSG, get a table of all the de-facto Biden markets on @PredictIt: politicalalertengine.com/ana…
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.@keendawgSSG: inspired by your post, I made some tables of these @PredictIt markets: politicalalertengine.com/ana… enjoy!
To be clear, I am betting a LOT of money on a Biden W. But I would pay at least one max-out to see every brandname trader wipe the coke dust off their nostrils on Nov 3 and realize they got cucked by Donald Trump, @obamoracle, @TruthBomber_ once again tinyurl.com/y4wd56sg
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.@PredictIt odds of Cornyn (purple line) vs. Trump Texas (orange line). Spreads seem to be narrowing a bit. politicalalertengine.com/ana…
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FWIW, I'm of the view that @realDonaldTrump is more likely to lose than @JohnCornyn
.@PredictIt traders: want price alert on latest prices?...check out @elicit_ought's free SMS/Email Notification tool link: elicit.ought.org/predictit example:
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.@PredictIt odds of @realDonaldTrump completing his first term are now around 77% (down from 85%-90% 24 hrs ago) chart link: politicalalertengine.com/ana…
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With about 1 hour to the debate: here are the odds based on @PredictIt data politicalalertengine.com/ana…